The ATP Barcelona Open marks the second significant clay court tournament of the season, consistently drawing top ATP Tour talent. This preview focuses on Tuesday’s first-round matches, featuring predictions for the match involving No. 3 seed Alex de Minaur. Additional match predictions, including those for top seed Carlos Alcaraz, can be found on our dedicated predictions page.
ATP Barcelona Day 2 Match Previews
Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego
Head-to-Head: 1-0 Martinez
Martinez secured victory in their only previous encounter in 2025 on the clay courts of Monte Carlo. The Spaniard successfully qualified for the main draw in Barcelona, while Sonego is returning to competition after an injury layoff. Martinez has had a disappointing 2-7 record at tour-level this season, suggesting this match could be closely contested. However, Sonego’s potential lack of match sharpness might prove to be the deciding factor.
Prediction: Martinez in 3 sets
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanov
Head-to-Head: First meeting
Carabelli typically performs his best tennis on clay. In contrast, Khachanov has faced considerable form challenges in 2026. At his most recent ATP 250 tournament in Morocco, Carabelli reached the semifinals, though he only won three games in that match. Nevertheless, he could present a significant challenge for Khachanov, especially given the pressure on the Russian as a defending Barcelona semifinalist. The Argentine has yet to record a win against Top 20 players. Khachanov, possessing a solid B-game, could capitalize against a less experienced opponent.
Prediction: Khachanov in 3 sets
Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner
Head-to-Head: 1-0 De Minaur
Barcelona is a familiar tournament for de Minaur, who holds an 8-5 record at the event. Notably, the Australian has not yet reached an ATP Tour final on clay courts. Although de Minaur was eliminated in the quarterfinals of last week’s ATP 1000 event in Monte Carlo, he should be sufficiently rested to defeat Ofner. De Minaur conceded only four games in his sole 2024 victory against Ofner. However, Ofner recently achieved a 12-match winning streak, securing ATP Challenger Tour titles earlier in 2026. De Minaur is skilled on clay, but he will need a strong start against a confident opponent.
Prediction: de Minaur in 2 sets
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports