ATP Miami: Best Bets for the Round of 32, Including Alcaraz vs Korda

As the ATP Masters 1000 Miami advances to the 1/16-finals (also known as the Round of 32), several compelling value betting opportunities emerge. Sebastian Korda appears to be in excellent form and could challenge Carlos Alcaraz significantly. Raphael Collignon's recent impressive victories have boosted his confidence, making him a formidable opponent, while Ethan Quinn is enjoying a remarkable winning streak that he looks poised to continue.

ATP Miami: Round of 32 Previews

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Korda

Match Date & Time: March 22, 2026, 20:00 CEST

Head-to-Head: Alcaraz leads 4-1

Carlos Alcaraz enters this match having won four of his last five outings. His recent run includes a straight-sets loss to Medvedev in the Indian Wells semifinals last week. Alcaraz is a former champion in Miami, having claimed the title in 2022. He began his campaign this week by defeating Fonseca in straight sets.

Sebastian Korda also boasts a strong record, winning four of his last five matches. In his opening match in Miami, Korda delivered a dominant performance, sweeping past Ugo Carabelli in straight sets. Last season, Korda reached the quarterfinals in Miami before falling to Djokovic.

Betting Analysis & Pick

While bookmakers position Korda as a significant underdog in this encounter, our assessment differs. Korda demonstrated exceptional form in his opening match, dropping only three games against Ugo Carabelli. Should he maintain a high level of serving, we anticipate a closely contested match.

Therefore, betting on Sebastian Korda to cover the games handicap presents a strong value opportunity.

Recommended Bet: Sebastian Korda +4.5 games handicap at odds of 1.83

Tommy Paul vs. Raphael Collignon

Match Date & Time: March 22, 2026, 19:00 CEST

Head-to-Head: First professional meeting

Tommy Paul has secured three wins in his last five matches. His Miami journey began with a three-set victory over Mannarino, where he overcame a 1-3 deficit in the deciding set.

Raphael Collignon has been impressive, winning four of his last five contests. In Miami, Collignon caused an upset by defeating Dimitrov in a tight three-set opener, followed by a straight-sets win against Cobolli in the second round.

Betting Analysis & Pick

Despite Paul being listed as the favorite by oddsmakers, our view differs. Collignon has performed exceptionally well in both his matches this week. We anticipate Collignon's confidence will be high, allowing him to keep this match highly competitive.

Consequently, backing Raphael Collignon to cover the games handicap represents a strong value bet.

Recommended Bet: Raphael Collignon +2.5 games handicap at odds of 2.10

Ethan Quinn vs. Jiri Lehecka

Match Date & Time: March 22, 2026, 16:00 CEST

Head-to-Head: First professional meeting

Ethan Quinn arrives with an impressive seven-match winning streak. His stellar run in Miami includes straight-sets upsets over Hurkacz in the opening round and Ruud in the second, where he saved all six break points faced. In contrast, last season saw Quinn exit Miami in the first round to Schoolkate.

Jiri Lehecka has won three of his last five matches. He commenced his Miami campaign with a straight-sets victory over Kouame, showcasing his composure by saving all three break points against him.

Betting Analysis & Pick

Although oddsmakers consider Quinn a slight underdog, we hold a different view. His performance over the past two weeks has been dominant, including impressive straight-sets upsets against Hurkacz and Ruud on his path to the third round. We anticipate he will continue his strong form in this match.

Therefore, a direct bet on Ethan Quinn to win is considered a high-value wager.

Recommended Bet: Ethan Quinn to win at odds of 2.30