The 2025 NBA play-in tournament continued its excitement on Wednesday after Orlando dominated Atlanta and Golden State narrowly defeated Memphis on Tuesday to secure the 7th playoff seeds.
Wednesday`s schedule features the Miami Heat at the Chicago Bulls (-1.5 spread, 219.5 over/under) and the Dallas Mavericks visiting the Sacramento Kings (-4.5 spread, 213.5 over/under). Both games will be broadcast on ESPN.
Here are recommended bets for Wednesday`s play-in matchups.
Wednesday`s Betting Recommendations
Bam Adebayo Over 19.5 Points (-105)
While Adebayo`s offensive output hasn`t been consistently high this season, he often elevates his game when it counts. He has exceeded this point total in four of his last five games when playing 40+ minutes and in two of three regular-season games against Chicago. Facing a Bulls team that allows the fifth-most points to centers, Adebayo is well-positioned to perform strongly.
Josh Giddey Over 28.5 Points and Assists (-105)
Giddey has been playing exceptionally well since the All-Star break, finishing the regular season strong. He has surpassed this combined points and assists line in 14 of his last 20 games, averaging a significant 14.2 field goal attempts and 15.2 potential assists in around 34 minutes of play. With the Bulls missing key players, Giddey is expected to have extended playing time against the Heat. Expect him to be aggressive in both scoring and facilitating.
DeMar DeRozan Over 9.5 Assists and Rebounds (-110)
DeRozan is anticipated to play heavy minutes with key players out for the opposing team. He has exceeded this combined assists and rebounds line in six of the nine games he played with certain lineup configurations. Over these games, he has averaged 10 potential assists and 8.1 rebound chances in approximately 38.5 minutes of play.
Anthony Davis Over 4.5 Assists (+115)
Davis has surpassed this assist mark in three of his last five games, averaging 5.6 potential assists in 30 minutes per game. With the Mavericks in an elimination scenario, Davis is likely to play significant minutes. If the Kings defense focuses on preventing him from scoring, it should create more opportunities for assists.
Game Projections and Injury Updates
Projections based on ESPN Analytics` Basketball Power Index. Injury information from Rotowire.com. Betting odds via ESPN BET.
7:30 p.m. ET
Line: Heat +1.5 (-105) | Bulls -1.5 (-115)
Money line: Heat +105 | Bulls -125
Total: 219.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
BPI Projection: Bulls by 2.5, 58% win probability, 222.1 total points projected.
Injury Report:
Heat: Kevin Love (Questionable – Personal), Nikola Jovic (Questionable – Hand), Pelle Larsson (Questionable – Ankle), Dru Smith (Out – Achilles)
Bulls: Dalen Terry (Questionable – Calf), Josh Giddey (Questionable – Forearm), Ayo Dosunmu (Out – Shoulder)
10 p.m. ET
Line: Mavericks +4.5 (-105) | Kings -4.5 (-115)
Money line: Mavericks +160 | Kings -190
Total: 213.5 (Over -115, Under -105)
BPI Projection: Kings by 3.3, 61% win probability, 224.8 total points projected.
Injury Report:
Mavericks: Kyrie Irving (Out – Knee), Anthony Davis (Questionable – Groin), Brandon Williams (Questionable – Oblique), Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Out – Wrist)
Kings: Jake LaRavia (Out – Thumb), Malik Monk (Out – Calf)