The Boston Celtics are favored to win the Eastern Conference and their player, Payton Pritchard, is expected to win Sixth Man of the Year. However, there might be better betting opportunities as the season approaches the playoffs.
Why Bet Against Celtics Winning the Eastern Conference
Despite having a strong record, the Celtics are behind the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference standings. The Cavaliers are likely to secure the top seed and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Home-court advantage is significant in the NBA playoffs.
Statistically, the Cavaliers have outperformed the Celtics in key metrics, including scoring differential and BPI (Basketball Power Index). BPI suggests the Cavaliers have a higher probability of advancing further in the playoffs.
The Cavaliers possess a well-rounded team with strong offensive players like Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, and efficient offense overall, especially in half-court situations which is crucial in playoffs. Mitchell has historically performed exceptionally well against the Celtics.
Considering these factors, betting on the Cavaliers to win the Eastern Conference instead of the Celtics might offer better value.
Why Bet Against Payton Pritchard for Sixth Man of the Year
While Pritchard is the favorite for the Sixth Man of the Year award, his odds are very low, offering minimal return. Other players like De`Andre Hunter and Malik Beasley, who play similar roles, have comparable stats.
Hunter, in particular, scores more points than Pritchard with similar shooting efficiency and offers greater defensive versatility due to his size. Although Pritchard has played more games, Hunter is on track to meet eligibility requirements for awards. Statistical analysis suggests Hunter is at least as impactful, if not more so, than Pritchard.
Given the odds and the strong performance of competitors like Hunter, betting on Pritchard at such low odds is not recommended. Hunter presents a much more valuable betting option for Sixth Man of the Year.