NBA betting: Three bets that stand out for Saturday’s playoff games

After securing two victories on the road in Boston, the New York Knicks return home to Madison Square Garden for Game 3 against the Boston Celtics. Despite trailing 0-2 in the series, the Celtics are still considered slight favorites in the Eastern Conference. The game is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.

Following that game, either the Minnesota Timberwolves or the Golden State Warriors will take a 2-1 series lead as they face off in San Francisco. The Warriors claimed Game 1, but the Timberwolves responded by evening the series in Game 2.

Here are some wagers that stand out for tonight`s playoff contests:

New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics: Over 206.5 points (-115). The initial total for this series was significantly higher, suggesting the current line is an overcorrection following Boston`s historically poor shooting in the first two games. A statistical correction, where players perform closer to their season averages, is likely for Boston, especially with open looks. The Knicks are also due for improved shooting efficiency on their open opportunities. While this game might involve periods of half-court play, it`s expected to feature more offense than the low total implies. A line this low for a matchup between two teams that finished in the top five in offensive efficiency during the season is worth considering for the over.

Derrick White: Over 3.5 3-pointers made (-125). Although the Celtics might shift their strategy to attack the paint more frequently against a Knicks frontcourt that can lack rim protection when Mitchell Robinson is off the floor, White could still benefit significantly. This strategic shift could lead to more catch-and-shoot opportunities from Boston`s two All-Star wings. Additionally, White possesses a size advantage over Jalen Brunson and plays effectively in space alongside Boston`s high-gravity offensive threats. The indicators suggest a potential offensive resurgence for Boston, making White`s shooting prop appealing.

Julius Randle: Over 24.5 Total Points and Assists (-120). It has been impressive to see Randle adjust to the Timberwolves` system, operating as a lower-usage focal point who can still dominate opponents. In the playoffs, Randle is leading the team with an impressive 11 potential assists per game. The ball movement doesn`t stall with Randle on the block or facing up defenders as it sometimes did with the Knicks; instead, he`s making impactful decisions with the ball. A more decisive Randle is a major reason why Minnesota is now viewed as a legitimate title contender, and this aspect of his game should continue to be evident tonight. There is also potential value in Randle`s rebounding prop, currently set at just 6.5 (-120). Building single-game bets around Randle`s performance could be an interesting approach for tonight`s game.

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Note: Players listed in italics are generally available in most fantasy leagues.