Thu. Mar 19th, 2026

ATP Miami Best Bets Including Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci

The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-finals continue to present promising betting opportunities. Marcos Giron appears solid, benefiting from his consistent form and playing on home ground. Ignacio Buse carries strong momentum from successful qualification, facing an opponent who is currently struggling. Meanwhile, Alex Michelsen’s superior experience is expected to give him a clear advantage, potentially leading to a straight-sets victory against Mattia Bellucci.

ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals Breakdown

Giron – Landaluce: 19.03.2026 17:30 CEST

Head-to-Head: first meeting

Marcos Giron has demonstrated strong recent form, securing victories in four of his last five matches. His most recent outing saw him reach the final in Phoenix last week, where he narrowly lost to Quinn in a three-set battle. In the previous Miami tournament, the American also faced a close three-set defeat in the opening round against Thompson.

Martin Landaluce also boasts a commendable record, winning four of his last five encounters. He successfully navigated the qualifying rounds in Miami this week, including a hard-fought comeback victory over Tirante in three sets after dropping the initial set.

Best Bet: Giron to Win

Bookmakers slightly favor Giron in this matchup, and we agree with this assessment. His consistent form and the advantage of playing on home turf are significant factors. Giron also possesses considerably more experience at the Masters 1000 level compared to Landaluce. We anticipate him performing as the superior player tonight. Therefore, a wager on Marcos Giron to win represents excellent value at odds of 1.57.

Buse – Dzumhur: 19.03.2026 19:30 CEST

Head-to-Head: first meeting

Ignacio Buse has secured three victories in his last five outings. He successfully qualified for the main draw in Miami this week, triumphing over Wong in three sets in the final qualifying round. Buse is aiming for a strong performance here to climb closer to the top 50 in the ATP rankings.

In stark contrast, Damir Dzumhur is in poor form, having lost four of his previous five matches. Last week, he was defeated by Wong in three sets in the opening round at Cap Cana.

Best Bet: Buse to Win

Bookmakers consider Buse the slight favorite, a view we share. The Chilean has been performing exceptionally well throughout the qualifying tournament, showcasing his best tennis. Dzumhur, conversely, is experiencing a significant slump in form. We project Buse to be the stronger contender and secure the win. Consequently, betting on Ignacio Buse to win offers good value at odds of 1.53.

Michelsen – Bellucci: 20.03.2026 00:00 CEST

Head-to-Head: 1-0

Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. His most recent appearance at Indian Wells last week saw him reach the 1/8-Finals before falling to Medvedev in straight sets. Historically, he hasn’t advanced beyond the second round in Miami.

Mattia Bellucci has been in good form, winning four of his last five matches. The Italian successfully qualified for the main draw in Miami this week, notably staging a comeback victory against Cassone in the final qualifying round after losing the first set.

Best Bet: Michelsen to Win 2-0

Michelsen is considered the slight favorite by bookmakers, a sentiment we endorse. Their previous encounter two years ago in Washington, under comparable conditions, saw Michelsen secure a straight-sets victory over Bellucci. Michelsen’s greater experience at the Masters 1000 level is a distinct advantage, and we anticipate him achieving a comfortable win. Therefore, a bet on Alex Michelsen to win 2-0 presents compelling value at odds of 2.10.

By Jasper Carew

Jasper Carew is a sports columnist from Manchester with 12 years of media experience. He started his career covering local football matches, gradually expanding his expertise to NBA and Formula 1. His analytical pieces are known for deep understanding of motorsport technical aspects and basketball statistics.

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